São Paulo vs Ceará Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Ceará

São Paulo host Ceará in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 07:00 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect a Close Encounter

We’ll go for the underdogs Ceará at +0.75 for their clash against São Paulo. Taking the Asian Handicap odds of 2.05 means that the stake is divided between +0.5 and +1 which looks like the best play.

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1-1 Draw in Most Recent H2H

São Paulo have claimed five consecutive home wins. Their last game was a 1-0 road defeat against Santos. Hernan Crespo's men had one shot on target and enjoyed 56% possession.

On Thursday night, São Paulo were beaten 1-0 at home to LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores.

Ceará played Bahia at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Fortaleza team had just 38% possession and totalled three shots on goal, with Lourenco on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo are unbeaten in the past ten matches against Ceará, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have featured eight draws and two São Paulo victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	24	9	8	7	27	24	3	27:24	35
13	Ceará	23	7	7	9	22	23	-1	22:23	28

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. São Paulo have had 55.0% possession and 6.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts, while being awarded 3.7 corners.

Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda each have 2. Nahuel Ferraresi is the top assists maker on 3.

Ceará have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 0.8 goals. Big Grandpa average 42.2% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Antonio Galeano has landed 3 goals, Lourenco 2, with Pedro Henrique and two others scoring 1. Antonio Galeano is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira.

Ceará predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Ferreira (GK), Fabiano, Marcos Victor, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia, Richardson, Dieguinho, Antonio Galeano, Lourenço, Pedro Henrique, Paulo Baya.

São Paulo vs Ceará Prediction & Betting Tips

Our São Paulo vs Ceará betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Ceará +0.75 could be the best way forward at odds of 2.05 in this Série A encounter. We feel optimistic that the underdogs can punch above their weight and be tough to beat.

The team at jeetwin-vip.com are right across the latest Série A injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key São Paulo vs Ceará league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Ceará in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 8 of their last 10 games against Ceará.

Ceará +0.75 Probability

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 1 Ceará

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the 6.75 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners

It has now been six consecutive Ceará games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in four straight São Paulo home matches. We advise betting on the 1.78 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.80 6.10 3.70

Home

9.60 5.30 4.30

Away

9.90 4.60 5.30

Ceará

Total

9.60 4.10 5.50

Home

9.80 4.90 4.90

Away

8.20 3.10 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

São Paulo Corners

Ceará Corners

Most Corners

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São Paulo vs Ceará Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think São Paulo Most Likely to Win

The latest São Paulo odds are 1.60 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 63% prospect of securing a victory. The market implies that Ceará are the most unlikely to win at 6.10.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Ceará are 6.00 here and the draw is 2.08, with São Paulo on offer at 2.28.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at 1.52.

For those wagering on Série A games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Luciano da Rocha is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Luciano da Rocha is favourite to be First Goalscorer at 4.90 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is 3.00.

It’s great to access Série A live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

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São Paulo vs Ceará Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the São Paulo vs Ceará team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Ceará Team Page